Breckenridge's Occupancy Forecast
Utilize the Breckenridge occupancy forecast to anticipate staffing needs and support business operations throughout the year. This forecast is updated every two weeks and available to all Breckenridge Business License holders.
Occupancy Forecast
September 30 Report
Breckenridge summer season (May 1 to Oct 31) guest nights on the books indicate Breckenridge is pacing 1.4% above the 2025 summer season (+1,907 guest nights on over 138.9K guest nights on the books). Currently, Breckenridge has approximately 98% of last summer’s actual guest nights on the books.
A Monthly snapshot of summer season guest nights on the books as of September 29, 2026:
September 15 to October 31 is represented below. Guest nights on the books are +23% year over year (YOY) (+5,094 GN YOY) and +13% to 2 years ago (2YA) 2024 (+3,239 GN 2YA).
Group business being the core reason guest nights are pacing above each of the past 2 years. There are a few public schools with long weekends around October 9 and 16. A little less than 20% of U.S. schools have breaks during these dates. Texas schools have breaks during these dates as well as Colorado, Florida, Kansas, Illinois and California to name a few. The report indicates 41% of Texas schools have Oct 9 off and 25% Texas schools have Oct 15 off.
Winter season guest nights on the books are -9% to last year and -10% to 2 years ago. Key Data properties have 24% of last season’s winter guest nights on the books.
Below is a “monthly” snapshot of Winter guest nights on the books as of Sept. 27, 2026
February and March guest nights on the books are currently pacing, +3% and +5% respectively, above 2025/26 pace. December and January are concerning. December 26 to January 1 is slow to pick up, plus, early December and early January are being impacted by a slow pace of college groups we have been accustomed to hosting in the past. Christmas is on a Friday, New Years Eve is on a Thursday and Easter is March 28, 2027.
You can see where the peak of spring break is shifted to later in March (blue line) and April is ugly. Historically, Breckenridge has approximately 25% of winter season actual guest nights on the books by the end of September. The arrival pattern has been set, now it is a matter of how much “fill” takes place this winter. Do your snow dances and toast ULLR.
Today’s Key Data reports include 55 properties and 3,193 units, of which 2,781 units are located inside Breckenridge town limits. As of July 2026, Breckenridge had 4,070 licensed units in town. The guest night data is based on business levels on Key Data as of September 29, 2026.
Sign-up & Login Assistance
Breckenridge’s occupancy forecast is available to all Breckenridge Business License holders. This proprietary data can be accessed with a KeyData login. If you have questions about the report, are interested in signing up for a login or need helping logging in, contact Bill at bwishowski@gobreck.com