Occupancy Forecast

The graph below compares June 15 to July 31. Guest nights on the books are -17% year over year (YOY).

During these dates, Breckenridge owner nights on the books are -2% YOY. Last year, for these dates, Breckenridge had 85% of 2024 actual guest nights on the books. Key Data measures and reports on 6,779 units located throughout Summit County. Summit County Guest nights on the books are -22% YOY. This is important when you consider the flow of business from other towns in the county.
If you zoom in on June 29 to July 13 (see the chart below), guest nights on the books are -22% YOY. Historically Breckenridge has 87% of actual guest nights on the books by this date. Friday night, July 4 has 15% fewer guest nights on the books YOY. Saturday night has 9% fewer guest nights on the books YOY. Summit County also has 20% fewer guest nights on the books during these dates. Breckenridge owner nights are down 5% YOY.

Guest nights on the books for the nights of August 1 to September 30, 2025 are down 15% to last year.

Breckenridge has approximately 40% of Historic Actual guest nights on the books at this time. One bright spot for the summer is Friday, Sept. 12 of Oktoberfest is pacing 4% above last year, while Saturday is pacing up by 10% YOY.

The June 30, 2025 Key Data reports include 54 properties and 3,271 of approximately 4,199 licensed short-term rentals in Breckenridge plus hotel properties. The data includes resorts, private homes, and hotels. Many of these units are on Rent by Owner (RBO) sites Airbnb and VRBO.