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Occupancy Forecast

Breckenridge's Occupancy Forecast

Utilize the Breckenridge occupancy forecast to anticipate staffing needs and support business operations throughout the year. This forecast is updated every two weeks and available to all Breckenridge Business License holders.

 

Occupancy Forecast

July 27 Report

Breckenridge Summer Season (May 1 to Oct 31) guest nights on the books (OTB) indicate we are pacing 0.7% above the 2025 summer season (+699 guest nights on over 104K guest nights on the books). Currently, Breckenridge has approximately 76% of last summer’s actual guest nights on the books.

A monthly snapshot of guest nights on the books as of July 26, 2026:

The nights of July 1 to August 2 are represented on the graph below. Guest nights on the books as of July 26 are UP 2.9% year over year (YOY) and -11.7% to 2 years ago (2YA). The average daily rate (ADR) is down $7 (-2.5%) YOY and down $6 to the same dates in 2024.

August 1 – 31 is represented on the graph below. August has approximately 68% of 2025 actual guest nights on the books. Guest nights on the books are -2.7% year over year (YOY). The average daily rate (ADR) Key Data properties have on the books is +$2 to each of the past 2 years. This is less than 1% increase over 2 years.

September guest nights on the books are pacing 10% more YOY (1,020 GN YOY). A couple of date changes in September are making the graphs look more inconsistent than what we have experienced in the past. Labor Day is a week later in 2026 vs. 2025. Oktoberfest is Sept. 25 – 27 vs. the Sept. 11-13 range in past years. September has 52% of last year’s actual guest nights on the books. The Governor’s Conference on Tourism registration is now open, and we will start seeing a bump in nights over September 23-25, 2026.

October 2026 guest nights on the books are pacing 30% more than last year with 23% of last year’s actual guest nights on the books (no graph included). The 30% increase dropped from 49% on July 7.

Today’s Key Data reports include 54 properties and 3,072 units, of which 2,711 units are located inside Breckenridge town limits. As of December 2025, Breckenridge had 4,132 licensed units in town. The data is based on business levels on Key Data as of July 26, 2026.

Sign-up & Login Assistance

Breckenridge’s occupancy forecast is available to all Breckenridge Business License holders. This proprietary data can be accessed with a KeyData login. If you have questions about the report, are interested in signing up for a login or need helping logging in, contact Bill at bwishowski@gobreck.com