Occupancy Forecast

Breckenridge summer season (May 1 to Oct 31) guest nights on the books indicate we are pacing 1.7% above the 2025 summer season (+2,029 guest nights on over 122.4K guest nights on the books). Currently, Breckenridge has approximately 90% of last summer’s actual guest nights on the books. A Monthly snapshot of guest nights on the books as of August 30, 2026:

Remember, Oktoberfest is two weeks later this year, Sept 25-27. The graph compares the event nights, not the date of the month. Keep in mind the Governor’s Conference on Tourism ends on Friday and is influencing Thursday night growth over last year.

Guest nights on the books for the Friday through Sunday nights of Oktoberfest are -9.3% (-313 GN) year over year. Friday night guest nights on the books are down 18% (-222 GN) year over year. Saturday night has 7% (-94) fewer guest nights on the books than 2024. An extra two weeks of opportunity to add guest nights during the weekend will close this gap.

October 2026 guest nights on the books are pacing 25% more than last year with 40% of Last year’s actual guest nights on the books. Group business levels in town account for the two blue line bumps in the graph.

A look at August 30 to October 31 guest nights indicate 18% more guest nights on the books year over year and 9% more than two years ago. September guest nights are +18% year over year. October guest nights are +25% year over year. Breckenridge has 71% of last year’s actual guest nights on the books.

The 2026/27 Winter Season has 15% of last year’s actual guest nights on the books. Guest nights on the books are -8% to last year (-2,974 GN).

The Average Daily Rate (ADR) is $53 less than last year. February and March are off to good starts with 4.2% and 7.4% more guest nights on the books than last year. December guest nights are -10.6% year over year. As you make winter plans, remember, Christmas Day is on a Friday and Easter is March 28, 2027.

Today’s Key Data reports include 54 properties and 3,041 units, of which 2,705 units are located inside Breckenridge town limits. As of July 2026, Breckenridge had 4,070 licensed units in town. The data is based on business levels on Key Data as of August 30, 2026.